The boycott drama is over. Pakistan is in Sri Lanka. Pak vs. India is back on. The team is training. But now, a new villain has emerged, and it’s one the ICC cannot sanction: The Rain. As we approach the Sunday blockbuster (Feb 15) at R. Premadasa Stadium, the weather reports are grim. Here is the situation and what it means for Pakistan’s World Cup hopes.
1. Pak vs. India – The Forecast: 60% Chance of Rain
According to AccuWeather and local Sri Lankan reports, Colombo is expected to be hit by “Scattered Thunderstorms” on Sunday afternoon.
- The Danger Zone: The rain probability peaks at 6:00 PM—exactly when the toss is scheduled.
- The Cut-Off: We need at least 5 overs per side to constitute a match. If the rain persists past 9:30 PM, the match will be abandoned.
2. Why a “Washout” Helps Pakistan
Ideally, we want to beat India. But strategically? A washout is decent.
- The Points Table: Both India and Pakistan currently have 4 points (2 wins each).
- The Math: If the match is washed out, both teams get 1 point. This moves them to 5 points each.
- The Benefit: This virtually guarantees Pakistan a spot in the Super 8s, as USA and Netherlands (the other group teams) are unlikely to catch up to 5 points. A washout removes the risk of a “Net Run Rate” disaster if we lose badly to India.
3. Team News: Shaheen is Back
The good news is that Shaheen Afridi was seen bowling at full pace in the nets today. The management rested him against the Netherlands to save his knee for this specific match. If play happens, expect him to target Rohit Sharma’s pads in the first over.
Verdict
Keep your eyes on the clouds, not just the toss. If we get a full match, it will be a classic. If we get a washout, Pakistan quietly marches into the next round. Prediction: A shortened 10-over shootout. Pakistan wins by 2 wickets.